Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.027336e-03 0.001174 0.001322 0.001483 0.001653 0.001826 0.002014
2025-04-13 8.564213e-04 0.001069 0.001293 0.001544 0.001815 0.002097 0.002412
2025-04-20 6.370425e-04 0.000887 0.001160 0.001477 0.001828 0.002202 0.002626
2025-04-27 4.574348e-04 0.000726 0.001035 0.001405 0.001825 0.002281 0.002806
2025-05-04 3.731162e-04 0.000665 0.001015 0.001445 0.001942 0.002489 0.003125
2025-05-11 2.508677e-04 0.000539 0.000906 0.001372 0.001925 0.002543 0.003270
2025-05-18 1.487018e-04 0.000419 0.000790 0.001282 0.001881 0.002560 0.003370
2025-05-25 8.999533e-05 0.000346 0.000727 0.001250 0.001898 0.002645 0.003542
2025-06-01 3.984714e-05 0.000266 0.000644 0.001185 0.001873 0.002675 0.003649
2025-06-08 1.543638e-05 0.000218 0.000600 0.001167 0.001900 0.002765 0.003823
2025-06-15 7.614934e-06 0.000206 0.000608 0.001216 0.002010 0.002951 0.004106
2025-06-22 7.707611e-09 0.000163 0.000560 0.001187 0.002020 0.003017 0.004249
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000134 0.000544 0.001216 0.002126 0.003225 0.004591
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000119 0.000551 0.001281 0.002281 0.003496 0.005012
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000070 0.000478 0.001226 0.002278 0.003576 0.005211
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000032 0.000406 0.001163 0.002262 0.003639 0.005387
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000022 0.000400 0.001202 0.002383 0.003869 0.005764
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000003 0.000334 0.001137 0.002358 0.003917 0.005922
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000265 0.001056 0.002306 0.003928 0.006031
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000229 0.001027 0.002323 0.004025 0.006243
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000181 0.000968 0.002295 0.004060 0.006379
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000157 0.000952 0.002326 0.004171 0.006607
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000161 0.000997 0.002448 0.004400 0.006979